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Identifying Arbitrage Opportunities in E-markets


John K. Debenham

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Abstract

A market is in equilibrium if there is no opportunity for arbitrage, ie:risk-free, or low-risk, profit. The majority of real markets are not in equilibrium. A project is investigating the market evolutionary process in a particular electronic market that has been constructed in an on-going collaborative research project between a university and a software house. The way in which actors (buyers, sellers and others) use the market will be influenced by the information available to them. In this experiment, data mining and filtering techniques are used to distill both individual signals drawn from the markets and signals from the Internet into meaningful advice for the actors. The goal of this experiment is first to learn how actors will use the advice available to them to identify arbitrage opportunities, and second how the market will evolve through entrepreneurial intervention. In this electronic market a multiagent process management system is used to manage all market transactions including those that drive the market evolutionary process.


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